The Spread of COVID-19 in Germany - An Application of the SIRDH Model

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dc.contributor.author Landsgesell, Lukas
dc.contributor.author Stadler, Manfred
dc.date.accessioned 2020-11-17T10:30:54Z
dc.date.available 2020-11-17T10:30:54Z
dc.date.issued 2020-11-17
dc.identifier.other 1738905853 de_DE
dc.identifier.uri http://hdl.handle.net/10900/109645
dc.identifier.uri http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:21-dspace-1096453 de_DE
dc.identifier.uri http://dx.doi.org/10.15496/publikation-51021
dc.description.abstract The paper studies the current COVID-19 pandemic by applying an adapted epidemiologic model, where each individual is in one of the five states “susceptible”, “infected”, “removed”, “immune healthy” or “dead”. We extend the basic model with time-invariant transition rates between these states by allowing for time-dependent infection rates as a consequence of lockdowns and social distancing policies as well as for time-dependent mortality rates as a result of changing infection patterns. Our model proves to be appropriate to calibrate and simulate the dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic in Germany between January and October 2020. We provide deeper insights about some key indicators such as the reproduction number, the effectiveness of non-pharmaceutical interventions, and the development of the infection and mortality rates. en
dc.language.iso en de_DE
dc.publisher Universität Tübingen de_DE
dc.rights ubt-podno de_DE
dc.rights.uri http://tobias-lib.uni-tuebingen.de/doku/lic_ohne_pod.php?la=de de_DE
dc.rights.uri http://tobias-lib.uni-tuebingen.de/doku/lic_ohne_pod.php?la=en en
dc.subject.classification Coronaviren , Deutschland de_DE
dc.subject.ddc 330 de_DE
dc.subject.other COVID-19 en
dc.subject.other SIRDH model en
dc.subject.other health behavior en
dc.title The Spread of COVID-19 in Germany - An Application of the SIRDH Model en
dc.type Article de_DE
utue.publikation.fachbereich Wirtschaftswissenschaften de_DE
utue.publikation.fakultaet 6 Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Fakultät de_DE
utue.opus.portal utwpbusinesseco de_DE
utue.publikation.source University of Tübingen Working Papers in Business and Economics ; No. 139 de_DE

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